The Finals

It’s finally upon us, the 2019 NBA Finals. The Toronto Raptors and Golden State Warriors tip off the first of their best of seven, winner takes all series tonight at 02:00AM GMT.

First up, I’m going to tackle the series bets – lets try and work out the outcomes of the best of seven. A lot of this is going to be based off the ‘eye test’ of the 82 game regular season but, more importantly, how these two teams have faired in the postseason.

Lets tackle the overall winner of the series (and NBA Championship). I’d love the Raptors to win – I’m a fan, they’re my team and it’s an underdog story – but, the Warriors are a dynasty for the ages. They’ll surely win – with or without Durant – and I’ve bet accordingly. I’m not in the market for backing them to win the series at 1/3, so have backed the Warriors to win the series 4-2 at a healthy 5/2 with Bet365. I was lucky enough to get on at 6/5 before the Cousins signing was announced inn July, so this would be a nice bonus…

On to finding a Finals MVP. I’d love Steph Curry to win it, if only to silence his doubters, but 4/6 is a tad short for me. Although not particularly clever, I’ve backed Kevin Durant at 18/1 with Skybet, Klay Thompson at 22/1 and Kyle Lowry at a huge 70/1 with Paddy Power.

Should the Warriors lose thee first two games in Toronto and KD return and lead them to another Championship, he’ll be favourite to win another Finals MVP and that 18/1 will look very big despite missing at least the first two games. Thompson has the ability to take over games and turn series on their heads – if he can perform at his very best for two or three games, again that 22/1 will look a very big price. I can’t see the Raptors winning the NBA Championship, but if they do, I’d love for the Lowry to take home Finals MVP honours. He’s the leader of the team (despite Leonard’s exploits) and 70/1 looks a stupidly big price for a potentially frontrunner should the Raptors win it all. I’d be amazed if Curry doesn’t win the award should the Warriors win, but lets see a big priced winner!

 

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