The first bet of the week is belatedly upon us.
The Philadelphia 76ers travel to Charlotte to fave the Hornets tonight in the second leg of a back-to-back and I don’t fancy their chances against Kemba Walker, et al.
The Sixers have played the most games out of all the teams in the league so far this season and face a back-to-back away in Charlotte. The Sixers played last night at home to the Jazz in a close game that saw all their main players (bar Embiid) log 34 or more minutes.
In contrast, the Hornets haven’t played a game since Tuesday night’s blowout loss at Cleveland. They should be fresh and ready to take on the new look Sixers in the first game of their two game home stand. This will be Philadelphia’s third game since that loss for the Hornets.
Although commonly thought of as a much stronger team than the Hornets, the 76ers have won only three more games in their three extra fixtures this season. Additionally, Simple Rating System has the the Hornets as a better side than them (2.39 opposed to -0.50). SRS takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.
Charlotte are currently too short (4/6ish) for the moneyline win for me. Unless that comes much closer to even money, I’ll be taking on the handicap here.
Vegas have the game at -2.5 in favour of the Hornets, but I could see it being a bit more comfortable than that… should Walker perform as he has been most of the season.
I fancy the Hornets to eclipse their average margin of victory (5.14 points) – I’ll be having a point at 6/4 with Paddy Power on the Hornets -5.5 alternate handicap. You can boost this price to 7/4 if you’ve got any power ups left.
I would like to be more brave and go for say -7.5 or more, but after last week’s results, let’s just try and get a win. Good luck!
Charlotte Hornets -5.5 @ 6/4 (boosted to 7/4) – 1pt